{"id":84279,"date":"2023-02-22T13:48:53","date_gmt":"2023-02-22T13:48:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theoutlier.co.za\/?p=84279"},"modified":"2025-11-17T17:42:19","modified_gmt":"2025-11-17T17:42:19","slug":"three-things-to-know-about-nigerias-presidential-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/2023\/02\/22\/three-things-to-know-about-nigerias-presidential-elections\/","title":{"rendered":"Three things to know about Nigeria\u2019s presidential elections"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Three things to know:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>93.5-million of Nigeria&#8217;s 213-million people (45%) are registered to vote. This is more than the combined populations of Ghana, Niger and Cameroon.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>40% of the voters are between the ages of 18 and 34.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Only one of the 18 presidential candidates is a woman and only five are under the age of 50.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Nigerians will vote for a new president and National Assembly on 25 February in what will be the biggest election on the continent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Independent National Electoral Commission of Nigeria (INEC) says 93.5-million people have registered to vote \u2013 about 45% of the country\u2019s total population of <a href=\"https:\/\/data.worldbank.org\/indicator\/SP.POP.TOTL?locations=NG\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">213-million<\/a>. It\u2019s 9.5-million more voters than in the 2019 elections.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To put this in perspective, 93.5-million is more than the combined populations of three of Nigeria\u2019s neighbours: Ghana, Niger and Cameroon. It\u2019s also more than three times the number of registered voters in South Africa\u2019s last election (26.8-million).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-600-wide size\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/editor.mediahack.co.za\/theoutlier\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2023\/02\/New-registered-voters-1-600x600.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-84280\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Voters have to get to one of the roughly 176,000 voting stations, which will be open from <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/inecnigeria\/status\/1625800743201525763\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">8.30am to 2.30pm<\/a> on Saturday. No one will be allowed to join the voting queue after 2.30pm, the INEC says.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In comparison, South Africans are given until <a href=\"https:\/\/www.elections.org.za\/content\/for-voters\/FAQ-For-Voters\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">5pm<\/a> to get to a polling station, and the president usually declares election day a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sanews.gov.za\/south-africa\/election-day-declared-public-holiday\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">public holiday<\/a>, which means people get a day off work to vote. Not so in Nigeria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If all 93.5-million registered voters decide to vote, the polling stations will have to process an average of about 530 voters each. It\u2019s unlikely that this will be the case, given that voter turnout was 34% in the last election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-600-wide size\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/editor.mediahack.co.za\/theoutlier\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2023\/02\/voter-turnout-1-600x600.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-84281\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Youth vote<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Young people make up the biggest voting block. Two out of every five (40%) registered voters are under the age of 35 years and 28% are students, according to INEC.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If they decide to go to the polls, young people have the potential to shape the election&#8217;s outcome. In the last election in 2019, the proportion of registered voters in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/inecnigeria\/photos\/a.796755240343867\/2353435148009194\/?type=3\">18 to 35 age bracket<\/a> was 51%, but the voter turnout was low.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are signs that this year\u2019s election may be different.<br \/><br \/>A substantial chunk \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vanguardngr.com\/2022\/10\/inec-announces-93-5m-voters-for-2023-polls\/\">7.2-million (77%) of new registered voters<\/a> \u2013 are between 18 and 34 years old.<br \/><br \/>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.anapfoundation.com\/press-releases\/2023-elections-peter-obi-maintains-lead-amongst-presidential-poll-respondents\">recent opinion poll<\/a> from the ANAP Foundation indicated that turnout may be \u201chuge\u201d, with 80% of respondents under the age of 35 polled saying they would definitely vote in the elections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-600-wide size\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/editor.mediahack.co.za\/theoutlier\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2023\/02\/Youth-power-2-1-600x600.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-84282\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The candidates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>There are <a href=\"https:\/\/inecnigeria.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Final-List-of-Candidates-for-National-Elections-1.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">18 candidates<\/a> running for president. Of these, only five are under the age of 50. (The age limit for candidates was dropped to 30 from 40 years of age in 2018 with the adoption of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.opendemocracy.net\/en\/5050\/nigeria-election-2023-youth-exclusion-organising\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cNot too young to run<\/a>\u201d bill.)&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The youngest candidate is Christopher Imumolen who is 38 years old, representing the Accord Party.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although 48% of registered voters are women, there is only one female candidate, Princess Chichi Ojei (44) from the Allied Peoples Movement.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The candidate who media reports say appears to be the favourite among young voters is the Labour Party\u2019s 61-year-old candidate Peter Obi. He was the frontrunner in an early February 2023 opinion poll, coming in ahead of 70-year-old Bola Ahmed Tinubu, the All Progressive Congress candidate, and 75-year-old Atiku Abubakar, the People\u2019s Democratic Party candidate.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Obi was a member of one of Nigeria\u2019s biggest political parties \u2013 the People\u2019s Democratic Party \u2013 but <a href=\"https:\/\/www.premiumtimesng.com\/news\/headlines\/532899-peter-obi-joins-labour-party.html?tztc=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">jumped ship<\/a> to join the Labour Party in 2022.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Incumbent Muhammadu Buhari, who is 80 years old, is not running in this election because there is a two-term limit.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since <a href=\"https:\/\/www.britannica.com\/place\/Nigeria\/Military-regimes-1983-99\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">military rule ended<\/a> in 1999, Nigeria has had six elections and four presidents \u2013 three of them from the People\u2019s Democratic Party and one from the All Progressive Congress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-4 is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"118\" height=\"100\" data-id=\"84299\" src=\"https:\/\/editor.mediahack.co.za\/theoutlier\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2023\/02\/7b2d3feb-0366-4d2c-bef4-855ecd6c2aff-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-84299\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Olusegun Obasanjo\nPeople\u2019s Democratic Party\n1999 to 2007<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"440\" height=\"642\" data-id=\"84300\" src=\"https:\/\/editor.mediahack.co.za\/theoutlier\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2023\/02\/14d60469-32d1-4ac9-971f-135aee0f44bf-1.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-84300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/14d60469-32d1-4ac9-971f-135aee0f44bf-1.jpeg 440w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/14d60469-32d1-4ac9-971f-135aee0f44bf-1-206x300.jpeg 206w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 440px) 100vw, 440px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Umaru Musa Yar\u2019Adua\nPeople\u2019s Democratic Party\n2007 to 2010<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"440\" height=\"660\" data-id=\"84302\" src=\"https:\/\/editor.mediahack.co.za\/theoutlier\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2023\/02\/fcd0c85f-f963-4758-85fe-1a1240f83875-1.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-84302\" srcset=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/fcd0c85f-f963-4758-85fe-1a1240f83875-1.jpeg 440w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/fcd0c85f-f963-4758-85fe-1a1240f83875-1-200x300.jpeg 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 440px) 100vw, 440px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Goodluck Jonathan\nPeople\u2019s Democratic Party\n2010 to 2015<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"460\" height=\"607\" data-id=\"84301\" src=\"https:\/\/editor.mediahack.co.za\/theoutlier\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2023\/02\/c1c7aa8b-ad36-401f-ae2a-33318d3c82d9-1.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-84301\" srcset=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/c1c7aa8b-ad36-401f-ae2a-33318d3c82d9-1.jpeg 460w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/c1c7aa8b-ad36-401f-ae2a-33318d3c82d9-1-227x300.jpeg 227w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 460px) 100vw, 460px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Muhammadu Buhari\nAll Progressive Congress\n2015 to 2023<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>To run for president a candidate must be:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>a Nigerian citizen,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>over 30 years old (the age limit of 40 was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.loc.gov\/item\/global-legal-monitor\/2018-06-11\/nigeria-constitution-amended-to-allow-independent-candidacy-lower-age-requirement-for-holding-elected-offices\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">amended in 2018<\/a>), and<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>have at least a school certificate level of education (the equivalent of South Africa\u2019s grade 12).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>To become president of Nigeria candidates need:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>a majority of the votes, and<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>at least 25% of the votes in 24 of 36 states.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-600-wide size\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/editor.mediahack.co.za\/theoutlier\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2023\/02\/Nigeria-general-elections-2023-1-1-600x600.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-84284\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If there is no outright winner, the INEC will arrange for a run-off election with the two candidates who got the most votes within seven days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>40% of the registered voters are between 18 and 34. Only five of the presidential candidates are under 50 years old.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":84970,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,446,8,1387],"tags":[154,256,257],"newsletter-post":[],"site":[],"class_list":["post-84279","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-governance","category-news","category-politics","category-the-outlier","tag-elections","tag-nigeria","tag-voter-turnout"],"acf":{"big_number":null,"big_number_caption":null,"big_number_link":null,"big_number_background":null,"big_number_text_colour":null,"big_number_icon":null,"big_number_wide":null,"featured_chart":null,"flourish_chart_id":null,"flourish_sub_title":null,"flourish_chart_width":null,"is_newsletter_post":null,"post_style":null,"show_on_front":null,"link_through":null,"chart_url":null,"background_colour":null,"text_colour":null},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84279","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84279"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84279\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":86563,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84279\/revisions\/86563"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84970"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84279"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84279"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84279"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-post","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-post?post=84279"},{"taxonomy":"site","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/site?post=84279"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}