{"id":90735,"date":"2025-08-24T14:33:11","date_gmt":"2025-08-24T14:33:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/?p=90735"},"modified":"2025-12-01T19:31:47","modified_gmt":"2025-12-01T19:31:47","slug":"this-week-in-charts-22-august-2025-springbok-chances-ai-jobs-the-cost-of-education","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/2025\/08\/24\/this-week-in-charts-22-august-2025-springbok-chances-ai-jobs-the-cost-of-education\/","title":{"rendered":"This week in charts: 22 August 2025 (Springbok chances, AI jobs, the cost of education)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The week that was in charts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bursary-billions\">\ud83d\udcb0 Bursary billions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Any parent who has a child studying at university will be well aware of how expensive it is, particularly if they don&#8217;t live at home. The National Student Financial Aid Scheme (NSFAS) has provided funds to thousands of students from poor and working-class families so they get an opportunity to study at one of South Africa&#8217;s 26 public universities or 50 technical and vocational education and training colleges (TVET colleges).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2023 alone, more than 760,000 people received NSFAS funding, 500,000 of them women. NSFAS paid out R44.6-billion in funds that year, most of it to university students.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nearly half (47%) of the just over a million students enrolled at public universities in 2023 were receiving NSFAS funds, according to Department of Higher Education and Training statistics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The average bursary for a university student was R73,830, compared with R28,188 for TVET college students.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Before 2018, NSFAS funding was mostly loans, but in December 2017, then president Jacob Zuma announced that the government would subsidise higher education for students from households with annual incomes of up to R350,000. Since 2018 funding has been in the form of bursaries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"810\" height=\"810\" src=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/nsfas.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-90736\" srcset=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/nsfas.png 810w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/nsfas-400x400.png 400w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/nsfas-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/nsfas-768x768.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 810px) 100vw, 810px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"opportunity-shortfall\">\ud83c\udf92<strong> Opportunity shortfall<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>South Africa\u2019s 21 Sector Education and Training Authorities (SETAs) are supposed to help workers gain new skills, grow their careers and boost productivity in sectors like agriculture, banking, energy, health, media, mining and transport, to name a few. Sounds good, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the SETAs have long been plagued by inefficiency and red tape. A recent report by the Bureau for Economic Research notes that billions of rands collected for skills training are sitting idle rather than being put to use. That\u2019s a serious problem when you consider South Africa\u2019s youth unemployment crisis and skills shortage. SETAs should be part of the solution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"810\" height=\"810\" src=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_certificates.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-90737\" srcset=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_certificates.png 810w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_certificates-400x400.png 400w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_certificates-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_certificates-768x768.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 810px) 100vw, 810px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>But the numbers tell a different story. Back in the 2011\/12 financial year, about 135,000 people signed up for SETA learnerships, internships and skills programmes. Twelve years later, that figure had risen to about 149,000. Yet the number of people finishing their SETA programme and getting a certification has fallen from 117,600 to 84,100.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is happening despite the SETAs being flush with cash. Employers pay 1% of their total wage bill into the National Skills Development Levy. In 2023\/24, this brought in R22.4-billion. Almost R18-billion was allocated to SETAs, according to the Department of Higher Education and Training.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"810\" height=\"810\" src=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_funds.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-90738\" srcset=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_funds.png 810w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_funds-400x400.png 400w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_funds-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_funds-768x768.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 810px) 100vw, 810px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The government says it plans to restructure the SETAs, strengthening oversight and ensuring they deliver measurable value. On 19 August, Higher Education Minister Buti Manamela placed three SETAs under administration over governance failures and procurement irregularities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But, as Wayne Duvenage, the CEO of anti-corruption advocacy organisation OUTA, cautions, putting a SETA under administration doesn\u2019t \u201cmagically clean it up\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfc9<strong> Scrum down<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"810\" height=\"810\" src=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Springboks_bars-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-90739\" srcset=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Springboks_bars-1.png 810w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Springboks_bars-1-400x400.png 400w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Springboks_bars-1-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Springboks_bars-1-768x768.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 810px) 100vw, 810px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>South Africa\u2019s 16-point loss to Australia (22\u201338) last weekend was one for the rugby history books \u2013 and not in a good way. You\u2019d have to go back to 2008 in Durban, when the Aussies beat the Boks 27\u201315, to find another defeat by that kind of margin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since 1995, the Springboks and Wallabies have squared off 64 times. Twenty nine of those games have been on South African turf, where the Boks usually own it, winning close to 80% of the time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some stadiums have been impenetrable fortresses: the Boks have never lost to Australia in Cape Town or Pretoria in the last 30 years. Last week\u2019s clash at Ellis Park in Johannesburg marked the Wallabies\u2019 first win there since 1995. Before that the Wallabies last beat the Boks at Ellis Park in 1963.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Durban, on the other hand, has never been the happiest hunting ground for South Africa. Against Australia, they\u2019ve only managed one win in four matches. The last time the Wallabies beat the Boks at home was in Durban, on 13 August 2011, when they won 14\u20139.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bloemfontein has been a mixed bag for the Boks. When the Boks faced the Australians there on 30 September 2017, they drew 27-27.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite their recent Ellis Park loss, when the Boks do beat Australia on home soil, they tend to win by a wider margin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"810\" height=\"810\" src=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Springboks_points-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-90740\" srcset=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Springboks_points-1.png 810w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Springboks_points-1-400x400.png 400w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Springboks_points-1-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Springboks_points-1-768x768.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 810px) 100vw, 810px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\ud83d\udda5\ufe0f AI jobs-apocalypse?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>If you&#8217;re an interpreter, writer, customer service rep, or data scientist, you may want to pay attention. A recent study by Microsoft Research found that these are the types of jobs that most people now consult AI tools about.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>An analysis of 200,000 conversations with Microsoft Bing Copilot found that information gathering, writing, and communicating are the most common user goals for AI assistance. The study looked at three variables for jobs to predict how \u2018applicable\u2019 AI would be to replace these roles: <strong>coverage<\/strong> (how many of the tasks in a particular job could be done by AI), <strong>scope<\/strong> (how many hours of a work day could AI cover) and <strong>completion<\/strong> (how well could AI complete tasks) to come up with a composite score.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Perhaps unsurprisingly the jobs deemed the \u2018most at risk\u2019 by the study were those that entailed knowledge work or communication, which is very much the domain of large language models (LLMs). Jobs that involved more manual labour or a human touch scored very low on the replacement score.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are many caveats with the study, like it just studied a single LLM and is based on what users are asking for help with. But that\u2019s maybe also the point: these are the kinds of help users are going back to AI tools for, so perhaps we need to pay attention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"810\" height=\"810\" src=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AIJobs.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-90741\" srcset=\"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AIJobs.png 810w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AIJobs-400x400.png 400w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AIJobs-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AIJobs-768x768.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 810px) 100vw, 810px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd17 All <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1RKV7zGivU0D0Pc949oL_d6ydaMVln7cgaaTG5SZWfYM\/edit?usp=sharing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">References<\/a> for this newsletter<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":90736,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1387,1380],"tags":[],"newsletter-post":[],"site":[],"class_list":["post-90735","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-outlier","category-this-week-in-charts"],"acf":{"post_style":"bc","show_on_front":"Yes","link_through":"Yes","big_number":"","big_number_caption":"","big_number_link":"","big_number_background":"","big_number_text_colour":"#000000","big_number_icon":false,"big_number_wide":"yes","featured_chart":{"ID":90738,"id":90738,"title":"SETA funds double","filename":"SETA_funds.png","filesize":69334,"url":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_funds.png","link":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/2025\/08\/24\/this-week-in-charts-22-august-2025-springbok-chances-ai-jobs-the-cost-of-education\/seta_funds\/","alt":"Allocations rose from R8bn in 2011\/12 to R17.bn in 2023\/24","author":"1","description":"","caption":"South Africa\u2019s 21 Sector Education and Training Authorities (SETAs) are meant to help workers gain skills, grow careers and boost productivity across sectors from agriculture to mining. Sounds good, right?\nBut inefficiency and red tape have long dogged the system. It's a major issue in a country battling youth unemployment and a critical skills shortage. Employers contribute 1% of their wage bill to the National Skills Development Levy, which raised R22.4-billion in 2023\/24. Of this, nearly R18-billion went to SETAs, according to the Department of Higher Education and Training.\nGovernment now says it will restructure the SETAs, tighten oversight and ensure they deliver real value. On 19 August 2025, Higher Education Minister Buti Manamela placed three SETAs under administration over governance failures and procurement irregularities.","name":"seta_funds","status":"inherit","uploaded_to":90735,"date":"2025-08-24 14:30:10","modified":"2025-08-27 06:13:23","menu_order":0,"mime_type":"image\/png","type":"image","subtype":"png","icon":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-includes\/images\/media\/default.png","width":810,"height":810,"sizes":{"thumbnail":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_funds-150x150.png","thumbnail-width":150,"thumbnail-height":150,"medium":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_funds-400x400.png","medium-width":400,"medium-height":400,"medium_large":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_funds-768x768.png","medium_large-width":768,"medium_large-height":768,"large":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_funds.png","large-width":810,"large-height":810,"1536x1536":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_funds.png","1536x1536-width":810,"1536x1536-height":810,"2048x2048":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SETA_funds.png","2048x2048-width":810,"2048x2048-height":810}},"flourish_chart_id":"","flourish_sub_title":"","flourish_chart_width":"medium","is_newsletter_post":"No","chart_url":"","background_colour":"#0089AA","text_colour":"#FFFFFF"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90735","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90735"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90735\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":90745,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90735\/revisions\/90745"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/90736"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90735"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90735"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90735"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-post","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-post?post=90735"},{"taxonomy":"site","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outliereditor.co.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/site?post=90735"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}